Why Joe Biden, Ukraine and America risk big in the ‘midterms’

These midterm elections smell like sulfur. Not only does Joe Biden risk losing his already very narrow majority in Congress on November 8, but the Republicans who are preparing to be elected are for many of them loyal supporters of Donald Trump, and they will not make him piece.

Certainly, Joe Biden would meet the same fate as most of his predecessors. Traditionally, the ruling party loses the midterm elections, the famous midterms which, in addition to multiple local elections, renew the entire House of Representatives and a third of the Senate. After bottoming out in the polls in June, the Democratic Party experienced a spectacular comeback during the summer which, for a time, gave rise to the possibility of a victory in the fall. But the shock caused by the Supreme Court’s decision of June 24, overturning the Roe vs. Wade judgment which protected the right to abortion at the federal level, no longer mobilizes as much, and the surprise created by the series of major laws adopted in Congress in the last weeks of the summer either. Economic concerns, marked by galloping inflation, have regained the upper hand.

Result, the Republicans have again the wind in their sails. A few days before the election, the poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight gives them an 85% chance of winning the House of Representatives, and a 54% chance of winning the Senate. And this, despite the tunnel of legal cases that their ch

This article is for subscribers only.
To read more, take advantage of our offers from €1

I test without obligation

By choosing this promotional subscription path, you accept the deposit of an analysis cookie by Google.

  • Secure payment
  • Without engagement
  • Access to customer service

Leave a Comment